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CMU-ISR-08-134
Institute for Software Research
School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University
CMU-ISR-08-135
Detecting Change in Human Social Behavior Simulation
Ian McCulloh, Kathleen M. Carley
August 2008
CMU-ISR-08-135.pdf
Keywords: Social network change detection, statistical process
control, multi-agent simulation, military, organizational behavior
networks, network statistics
The performance of social network change detection (SNCD) is evaluated
using a multi-agent simulation of company level U.S Army Infantry
organizations. Agent interaction is probabilistic, with increased likelihood
of communication based on similarity in skills, role, sub-unit of assignment,
military rank, and general personality homophily. Various social network
measures are monitored for change over time with a Cumulative Sum (CUSUM)
control chart, an Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA), a scan
statistic, and a Hamming Distance. Findings show that the average betweenness,
the average closeness, and the standard deviation of eigenvector centrality
are social network measures that are well-suited for SNCD. This research
further supports the efficacy of SNCD using statistical process control charts.
29 pages
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